Saturday, June 11, 2005

TS Arlene Public Advisory 14 - 5 p.m.

000
WTNT31 KNHC 112018
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

...CENTER OF ARLENE MOVES INLAND JUST WEST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...ALL HURRICANE WATCHES AND WARNINGS AND ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED...EXCEPT FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST FROM THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER EASTWARD TO PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ONLY FROM THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER EASTWARD TO PANAMA CITY.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE LARGE CENTER OF CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.

ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER OF ARLENE FARTHER INLAND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CONFINED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER AND OVER WATER. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CONTINUES EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER HAS MADE LANDFALL. SURGE AND WAVES SHOULD GRADUALLY DECREASE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. COASTAL WATER LEVELS ARE BEGINNING TO DECREASE TO THE WEST OF WHERE THE CENTER HAS MADE LANDFALL.

ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND JUST TO THE WEST OF THE STORM TRACK...FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY NORTHWARD INTO PARTS OF EASTERN INDIANA AND WESTERN OHIO OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...30.7 N... 87.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA/KNABB

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