Friday, June 10, 2005

TS ARLENE Public Advisory 8A - 8 a.m.

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WTNT31 KNHC 101146
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT FRI JUN 10 2005

...ARLENE EMERGING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM PINAR DEL RIO TO THE CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCES...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH. THESE WARNINGS MAY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 36 HR.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.8 WEST...ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...NORTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.

ARLENE IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...ARLENE WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM WESTERN CUBA THIS
MORNING...AND WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 55 MPH... 90 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CUBA. GENERAL 3 TO 5 INCH AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ARLENE WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF COAST REGION LATER TONIGHT.

SOME COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE SOUTHERN COAST OF WESTERN CUBA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...22.6 N... 84.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 55 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA

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