Saturday, July 09, 2005

HURR Dennis Public Advisory 19B - 9 a.m.

WTNT34 KNHC 091259
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
9 AM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005

...DENNIS CONTINUING TO RE-ORGANIZE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF...
...HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS OCCURRING ACROSS THE LOWER KEYS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN
GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF
AND FLORIDA BAY.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...AND
CIENFUEGOS. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF
YOUTH AND THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR
CUBA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...
INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN FLORIDA...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DENNIS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 9 AM EDT...1300Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.5 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES
WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 380 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 520 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES. KEY WEST HAS CONTINUED TO EXPERIENCE WIND GUSTS TO 74
MPH...OR HURRICANE FORCE.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 967 MB...28.56 INCHES.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS.
A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST
OF FLORIDA TODAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 9 AM EDT POSITION...24.4 N... 83.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART

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