Saturday, July 23, 2005

Special Tropical Disturbance Statement - 1:05 p.m. CDT

000
WONT41 KNHC 231805
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

SATELLITE DATA...AND SURFACE REPORTS FROM MEXICO AND NOAA BUOY 42055
...INDICATE A BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED OVER
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS
SYSTEM HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON...AND
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE SLOWLY INCREASED NEAR THE CENTER OF
THE DISTURBANCE. IF THIS TREND CONTINUES...THEN A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY FORM LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. A NOAA RESEARCH AIRCRAFT IN
THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE PROVIDING ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON
THE ORGANIZATION OF THIS SYSTEM.

INTERESTS IN AND NEAR THE EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND BAY OF CAMPECHE
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...SINCE TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS MAY
EVENTUALLY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN COAST OF MEXICO
NORTH OF PUNTA EL LAGARTO.

FORECASTER STEWART

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