Tuesday, July 12, 2005

TS Emily Public Advisory 9 - 11 p.m. AST

000
WTNT35 KNHC 130251
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE JUL 12 2005

...EMILY GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AND MOVING WESTWARD...
...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD HAS CHANGED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH FOR TOBAGO TO A
HURRICANE WARNING...AND HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR TRINIDAD.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...
TOBAGO...GRENADA...ST. VINCENT...THE GRENADINES...AND ST. LUCIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
TRINIDAD.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MARTINIQUE.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24
HOURS. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 36
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 54.7 WEST OR ABOUT
370 MILES... 590 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS AND ABOUT 450
MILES... 720 KM...EAST OF TRINIDAD.

EMILY IS MOVING JUST SOUTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 20 MPH ...32 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF EMILY WILL BE REACHING THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS LATE WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND EMILY HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE
REACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

EMILY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 12 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1-3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE PATH OF THE
CENTER.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...10.7 N... 54.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
AST.

FORECASTER KNABB

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