Monday, August 22, 2005

TS JOSE Special Advisory 3 - 5:15 p.m. CDT

000
WTNT31 KNHC 222223
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
515 PM CDT MON AUG 22 2005

...TENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2005 ATLANTIC SEASON FORMS IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...

AT 515 PM CDT... 2215 UTC... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTHWARD FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL
LAGARTO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF
COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO NORTHWARD TO CABO ROJO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 515 PM CDT...2215Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 95.4 WEST OR ABOUT 60
MILES... 95 KM... EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO AND ABOUT 160
MILES... 260 KM...SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.

JOSE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR... AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK... THE CENTER OF JOSE WILL BE NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE
WARNING AREA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE JOSE MAKES
LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES
... 55 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS OF UP TO 10 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION. THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 515 PM CDT POSITION...19.6 N... 95.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
CDT.

FORECASTER KNABB

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